“The greatest pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot do.”
If you recently received a promotion or raise, you need not spend more money simply because you have it. Counter the temptation to buy this or that with the question “Do I really need this?” Living within your means could leave you with more money to save and invest for the future.
It takes a crew of eight workers four hours to dig a 30’ hole in the ground. How long would it take them to dig half a hole?
Last week’s riddle:
What is long and narrow, yet can look far and wide?
ANSWER: A telescope.
In this week’s recap: consumer optimism increases, the retail sales pace slows, inflation pressure weakens, and Wall Street sees wide-ranging gains.
CONSUMER SENTIMENT EXCEEDS EXPECTATIONS
In its initial September edition, the University of Michigan’s monthly consumer sentiment index rose 4.6 points to 100.8, a 6-month high. Economists polled by Bloomberg had forecast a reading of 96.6. Fifty-six percent of households responding to the survey said that they had made recent financial gains; the all-time high for the survey is 57%, recorded in both March 2018 and February 1998. The index’s future expectations gauge reached a 14-year peak of 91.1.1
RETAIL SALES ALMOST FLAT IN AUGUST
The 0.1% August advance was the smallest monthly gain since February. Core retail purchases (which exclude the automotive, food, and home improvement categories) rose by the same amount. The Department of Commerce did revise the July numbers upward: the overall retail sales increase in that month went to 0.7%; the core retail sales gain, to 0.8%.2
ANNUALIZED INFLATION DECREASES
August’s Consumer Price Index shows 12-month inflation at 2.7%, down from 2.9%. Yearly core inflation retreated similarly, lessening from 2.4% to 2.2% last month. The headline CPI rose 0.2% in August; the core CPI, 0.1%. Both the headline and core Producer Price Index declined 0.1% in August, significantly reducing their annualized gains. Twelve-month wholesale inflation shrank 0.5% to 2.8%, while yearly core wholesale inflation retreated to 2.3% from 2.7%.3
A POSITIVE FIVE DAYS FOR EQUITIES
All three major stock indices advanced last week. The Dow Industrials gained 0.92% to reach 26,154.67 at Friday’s close. Settling at 8,010.04 Friday, the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.36% for the week. The S&P 500 improved 1.16% to 2,904.98. The main barometer of Wall Street volatility, the CBOE VIX, fell 18.88% for the week to 12.07.4
|% CHANGE||Y-T-D||1-YR CHG||5-YR AVG||10-YR AVG|
|REAL YIELD||9/14 RATE||1 YR AGO||5 YRS AGO||10 YRS AGO|
|10 YR TIPS||0.89||0.35||0.80||1.70|
Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Connecticut Capital Management Group LLC are not affiliated. Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.
Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 9/14/184,5,6,7Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. This information has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.
1 – bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-14/u-s-consumer-sentiment-rises-to-six-month-high-above-estimate [9/14/18]
2 – cnbc.com/2018/09/14/us-retail-sales-august-2018.html [9/14/18]
3 – investing.com/economic-calendar/ [9/14/18]
4 – markets.wsj.com/us [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F14%2F17&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F14%2F17&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F14%2F17&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F13%2F13&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F13%2F13&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F13%2F13&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [9/14/18]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [9/14/18]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [9/14/18]